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volume 90, issue 5, sep. /oct. 2011
1. title: 9/11 in retrospect: george w. bush's grand strategy, reconsidered
authors: melvyn p leffler
abstract: ten years after september 11, people can begin to gain some perspective on the impact of that day's terrorist attacks on us foreign policy. there was, and there remains, a natural tendency to say that the attacks changed everything. but a decade on, such conclusions seem unjustified. september 11 did alter the focus and foreign policy of the george w. bush administration. after 9/11, there was an accelerated buildup of us military and intelligence capabilities. defense expenditures skyrocketed; counterinsurgency initiatives proliferated; new bases were constructed throughout central and southwest asia; a new military command in africa was established. the war on terror became the preoccupation of the bush administration's national security policy. before 9/11, the us' primacy and security had been taken for granted; after 9/11,washington had to make clear that it could protect the us homeland, defend its allies, oversee an open world economy, and propagate its institutions.
2. title: a new kind of korea: building trust between seoul and pyongyang
authors: park geun-hye
abstract: a lack of trust has long undermined attempts at genuine reconciliation between north and south korea. for more than half a century, north korea has blatantly disregarded international norms. precisely because trust is at a low point these days, south korea has a chance to rebuild it. in order to transform the korean peninsula from a zone of conflict into a zone of trust, south korea should adopt a policy of "trustpolitik," establishing mutually binding expectations based on global norms. to ensure stability, trustpolitik should be applied consistently from issue to issue based on verifiable actions, and steps should not be taken for mere political expediency. to establish trustpolitik on the korean peninsula, south korea should adapt its past strategies toward north korea. a new policy is needed: an alignment policy, which should be buttressed by public consensus and remain constant in the face of political transitions and unexpected domestic or international events.
3. title: afghanistan's ethnic puzzle: decentralizing power before the u.s. withdrawal
authors: thomas barfield
abstract: in late 2001, when us forces expelled the taliban from afghanistan, the country appeared headed for a breakup. the us and the rest of the international community feared that afghanistan's rival ethnic groups would use their regional power bases to pull apart any unitary state, forming in its place independent ministates or aligning with their ethnic brethren across afghanistan's borders. as a result, the fears of 2001 have come to life, as regional and ethnicities have taken on an ever-larger role in afghan politics and society. but it is not too late for washington to avoid this scenario. first, the us should make a greater effort to persuade afghan pres hamid karzai to give legal recognition to political parties. second, the us should encourage the afghan government to devolve power to provinces and districts so that citizens there can elect their own governors. lastly, opening up provincial and district governorships to competition would provide the safest form of power sharing with the taliban.
4. title: al qaeda's challenge: the jihadists' war with islamist democrats
authors: william mccants
abstract: the arab spring and the death of osama bin laden represent a moment of both promise and peril for the global jihadist movement. on the one hand, the overthrow of secular rulers in the heartland of the muslim world gives jihadists an unprecedented opportunity to establish the islamic states that they have long sought. on the other hand, jihadists can no longer rally behind their most charismatic leader, bin laden. and the jihadist flagship that he founded, al qaeda, may lose its relevance in the muslim world to rival islamist groups that are prepared to run in elections and take power through politics. al qaeda and its allies will not support these islamists unless they reject parliamentary politics and establish governments that strictly implement islamic law and are hostile to the us. they demand the government of the rightly guiding caliphate, which is established on the basis of the sovereignty of sharia and not on the whims of the majority.
5. title: commanding democracy in egypt: the military's attempt to manage the future
authors: jeff martini, julie taylor
abstract: many of the iconic images from egypt's revolution depict the egyptian military supporting the uprising in tahrir square. the day after hosni mubarak fell, the supreme council of the armed forces, the military body now governing the country, vowed to ensure a peaceful transition of authority within a free and democratic system that allows an elected civilian authority to take charge of governing the country. the military's insistence that parliamentary elections take place this fall, less than a year after mubarak's ouster, is the clearest indication yet that it intends to work with these groups to shape egypt's future. the military is also working to secure its influence over parliament by maintaining a provision that reserves half the seats in the lower house of parliament for what the electoral law calls "farmers" and "workers." since the revolution, the generals have sought to maintain control over key instruments of power, especially provincial governorships, to complement their top-down control.
6. title: europe's palestine problem: making sure the eu matters to middle east peace
authors: rory miller
abstract: palestinian leaders believe that pres obama has failed to fulfill the promise he made in his june 2009 cairo speech to back their legitimate aspirations for statehood, and they are irritated that he has not forced the israelis to continue the settlement freeze. in the face of this impasse, a variety of international figures are now asking europe to step in. arab leaders such as former arab league secretary-general amr moussa have called on europe to take charge of the peace process. the eu's current political and diplomatic leaders need no encouragement. they already seem to feel that they have both a right and a duty to help solve the conflict. to begin with, they should give up their obsession with trying to compete with the us. the eu needs to demonstrate greater vision and ambition in its financing efforts, namely, by turning its attention to developing palestinian science and technology.
7. title: leaving afghanistan to the afghans: a commander's take on security
authors: david m rodriguez
abstract: as 33,000 us troops begin the drawdown, returning to the us by next summer, 352,000 afghan soldiers and police will be in place to continue their work. there are clear signs of progress in afghanistan, and coalition forces have regained the initiative. the coalition strategy has worked because it sought to match the coalition's goals with available resources. in afghanistan's west, herat city is bustling and ready to initiate the transition to local control. thanks to their successes, the afghan security forces have garnered more popular support countrywide, cultivating people's desire to work with afghan soldiers and police to defend themselves against the insurgency. as a result, the population is more willing to tip off afghan and coalition troops about enemy activity. the goal is for afghan forces to assume lead responsibility for security by the end of 2014, and they are already on their way to meeting it.
8. title: palestine goes to the un: understanding the new statehood strategy
authors: khaled elgindy
abstract: mahmoud abbas, the president of the palestinian authority and chair of the palestine liberation organization, plans to call on the united nations in september to recognize a palestinian state and admit it as a full member of the organization. this strategy marks a dramatic shift in the palestinians' approach to the conflict with israel: they are not seeking to revive the moribund peace process; they are seeking to bypass it altogether. the palestinians' un strategy has been buttressed by two ongoing developments, both of which have now become essential to its success. the first is prime minister salam fayyad's so-called state-building plan, which he launched in august 2009 with the aim of laying the institutional foundations of a future palestinian state within two years. the second, more crucial precondition for palestinian statehood is national unity. the palestinian leadership's un bid is partly a response to this threat, too.
9. title: surgical strikes in the drug wars: smarter policies for both sides of the border
authors: mark kleiman
abstract: more than a thousand people die each month in drug-dealing violence in mexico, and the toll has been rising. in some parts of the country, the police find themselves outgunned by drug traffickers and must rely on the armed forces. meanwhile, the us suffers from the widespread abuse of cocaine, heroin, methamphetamines, and cannabis; violence and disorder surrounding retail drug markets; property theft and violent crime committed by drug abusers; and mass incarceration, including half a million people behind bars for drug offenses and at least as many for crimes committed for money to buy drugs. current policies, clearly, have unsatisfactory results. the conventional alternative to this conventional wisdom holds that the problem is not drugs but drug laws, and that the solution is therefore legal availability. focusing us domestic drug law enforcement on reducing violence and disorder could allow a very substantial cutback in the overall level of drug arrests, prosecutions, and incarcerations.
10. title: the inevitable superpower: why china's dominance is a sure thing
authors: arvind subramanian
abstract: china may be on its way to becoming an economic superpower, and the us may have to share the global stage with it in the future. but, the argument goes, the threat from china is not so imminent, so great, or so multifaceted that it can push the us out of the driver's seat. the upshot of the author's analysis is that by 2030, relative us decline will have yielded not a multipolar world but a near-unipolar one dominated by china. china will account for close to 20% of global gdp compared with just under 15% for the us. at that point, china's per capita gdp will be about $33,000, or about half of us gdp. in other words, china will not be dirt poor, as is commonly believed. the chinese economy will be larger than the economy of the us and larger than that of any other country, and so will its trade and supplies of capital.
11. title: the middling kingdom: the hype and the reality of china's rise
authors: salvatore babones
abstract: by any measure, china's economic growth has been unprecedented, even miraculous. according to the international monetary fund, the chinese economy grew by an average of 9.6% per year between 1990 and 2010. at its current growth rates, china will likely catch up to brazil, mexico, and russia around the year 2020 in terms of per capita gdp. pundits may relish the opportunity to speculate about a post-american future in which the world has to learn mandarin, but the facts say not in this century. it is time to start treating china like a large but ordinary country. the rest of the world should neither relish nor fear the prospect of chinese domination. putting aside the hype and the panic, one should see in china a country that suffered terrible tragedy for 200 years and is finally returning to normal. this is a good thing -- for china, for the us, and for the world.
12. title: the unbreakable muslim brotherhood: grim prospects for a liberal egypt
authors: eric trager
abstract: the muslim brotherhood, which largely avoided the limelight during the egypt's revolt, is seizing the political momentum. the brotherhood is egypt's most cohesive political movement, with an unparalleled ability to mobilize its followers, who will serve it extremely well in a country still unaccustomed to voting. the muslim brotherhood is relying on this system to build a single political party, the freedom and justice party, to which it will direct its millions of members and admirers. the brotherhood's recruitment system virtually guarantees that only those who are deeply committed to its cause become full members. meanwhile, its pyramid-shaped hierarchy ensures that these members dutifully execute the aims of its national leadership at the local level. as the parliamentary elections approach this fall, leaders of the brotherhood are therefore highly confident about their chances. and the brotherhood will use its hierarchic network to choose candidates on a district-by-district basis, as it has done in the past.
13. title: tokyo's transformation: how japan is changing-and what it means for the united states
authors: eric heginbotham, ely ratner, richard j samuels
abstract: the earthquake and tsunami that struck northeastern japan on mar 11, 2011, caused almost unimaginable damage and misery. but some see a silver lining to these dark tragedies. after 20 years of economic stagnation, the crisis could bring the japanese together, catalyze much-needed reforms, and reverse decades of malaise. many in the us predict that the disaster will give a welcome boost to the us-japanese alliance. japan is undergoing profound changes aimed at empowering the political leadership at the expense of its historically preeminent bureaucracy. safeguarding the us-japanese alliance must remain a top priority, but washington should also be prepared to work more closely with other partners in the region. indeed, us should, on the whole, welcome the changes in governance that will ultimately make japan more democratic and dynamic. the us has both national interests in japan and a moral obligation to support it during tough times, not just flush ones.
14. title: will oil drown the arab spring? democracy and the resource curse
authors: michael l ross
abstract: even before this year's arab uprisings, the middle east was not an undifferentiated block of authoritarianism. the arab spring has seriously threatened just one oil-funded ruler -- libya's muammar al-qaddafi -- and only because nato's intervention prevented the rebels' certain defeat. since the 1970s, the oil-producing states have remained far less democratic than other states. oil has not always been a barrier to democracy. in the middle east today, oil-funded leaders typically respond to demands for greater accountability by offering new handouts, lowering taxes, or both -- and this usually works. since then, control over oil revenue has helped autocrats stay in power in three main ways. first, it has allowed them to buy off citizens by providing them with many benefits with virtually no taxation. second, autocrats who get most of their funding from national oil industries find it easier to keep their countries' finances secret. finally, oil wealth allows autocrats to lavishly fund -- and buy the loyalty of -- their armed forces.
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15. title: haiti's rise from the rubble: the quest to recover from disaster
authors: paul collier
abstract: the book after the earthquake by paul farmer is reviewed.
16. title: invading afghanistan, then and now: what washington should learn from wars past
authors: jonah blank
abstract: the book �the wars of afghanistan: messianic terrorism, tribal conflicts, and the failures of great powers� by peter tomsen is reviewed.
17. title: recent books on international relations: africa: a predictable tragedy: robert mugabe and the collapse of zimbabwe
authors: nicolas van de walle
abstract: the book �a predictable tragedy: robert mugabe and the collapse of zimbabwe� by daniel compagnon is reviewed.
18. title: recent books on international relations: africa: africa in the time of cholera: a history of pandemics from 1817 to the present
authors: nicolas van de walle
abstract: the book �africa in the time of cholera: a history of pandemics from 1817 to the present� by myron echenberg is reviewed.
19. title: recent books on international relations: africa: nigeria: dancing on the brink
authors: nicolas van de walle
abstract: the book �nigeria: dancing on the brink� by john campbell is reviewed.
20. title: recent books on international relations: africa: the new scramble for africa/season of rains: africa in the world
authors: nicolas van de walle
abstract: the books �the new scramble for africa� by padraig carmody and �season of rains: africa in the world� by stephen ellis are reviewed.
21. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: arming without aiming: india's military modernization
authors: andrew j nathan
abstract: the book �arming without aiming: india's military modernization� by stephen p cohen and sunil dasgupta is reviewed.
22. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: china, the united states, and global order
authors: andrew j nathan
abstract: the book �china, the united states, and global order� by rosemary foot and andrew walter is reviewed.
23. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: collective killings in rural china during the cultural revolution
authors: andrew j nathan
abstract: the book �collective killings in rural china during the cultural revolution� by yang su is reviewed.
24. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: crafting state-nations: india and other multinational democracies
authors: andrew j nathan
abstract: the book �crafting state-nations: india and other multinational democracies� by alfred stepan, juan j. linz, and yogendra yadav is reviewed.
25. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: rethinking japanese public opinion and security: from pacifism to realism?
authors: andrew j nathan
abstract: the book �rethinking japanese public opinion and security: from pacifism to realism?� by paul midford is reviewed.
26. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: the great wall at sea: china's navy in the twenty-first century
authors: andrew j nathan
abstract: the book �the great wall at sea: china's navy in the twenty-first century� by bernard d. cole is reviewed.
27. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: the impact of china's 1989 tiananmen massacre
authors: guobin yang
abstract: the book �the impact of china's 1989 tiananmen massacre� by jean-phillippe beja is reviewed.
28. title: recent books on international relations: asia and pacific: worse than a monolith: alliance politics and problems of coercive diplomacy in asia
authors: andrew j nathan
abstract: the book �worse than a monolith: alliance politics and problems of coercive diplomacy in asia� by thomas j. christensen is reviewed.
29. title: recent books on international relations: eastern europe and former soviet republics: a long goodbye: the soviet withdrawal from afghanistan
authors: robert legvold
abstract: the book �a long goodbye: the soviet withdrawal from afghanistan� by artemy m. kalinovsky is reviewed.
30. title: recent books on international relations: eastern europe and former soviet republics: bosnia remade: ethnic cleansing and its reversal
authors: robert legvold
abstract: the book �bosnia remade: ethnic cleansing and its reversal� by gerard toal and carl t. dahlman is reviewed.
31. title: recent books on international relations: eastern europe and former soviet republics: constructing grievance: ethnic nationalism in russia's republics
authors: robert legvold
abstract: the book �constructing grievance: ethnic nationalism in russia's republics� by elise giuliano is reviewed.
32. title: recent books on international relations: eastern europe and former soviet republics: romanov riches: russian writers and artists under the tsars
authors: robert legvold
abstract: the book �romanov riches: russian writers and artists under the tsars� by solomon volkov is reviewed.
33. title: recent books on international relations: eastern europe and former soviet republics: state building in putin's russia: policing and coercion after communism
authors: robert legvold
abstract: the book �state building in putin's russia: policing and coercion after communism� by brian d. taylor is reviewed.
34. title: recent books on international relations: eastern europe and former soviet republics: the unfinished revolution: making sense of the communist past in central-eastern europe
authors: robert legvold
abstract: the book �the unfinished revolution: making sense of the communist past in central-eastern europe� by james mark is reviewed.
35. title: recent books on international relations: economic, social, and environmental: banker to the world: leadership lessons from the front lines of global finance
authors: richard n cooper
abstract: the book �banker to the world: leadership lessons from the front lines of global finance� by william r. rhodes is reviewed.
36. title: recent books on international relations: economic, social, and environmental: energy: perspectives, problems, and prospects
authors: richard n cooper
abstract: the book �energy: perspectives, problems, and prospects� by michael b. mcelroy is reviewed.
37. title: recent books on international relations: economic, social, and environmental: getting better: why global development is succeeding-and how we can improve the world even more
authors: richard n cooper
abstract: the book �getting better: why global development is succeeding-and how we can improve the world even more�. by charles kenny is reviewed.
38. title: recent books on international relations: economic, social, and environmental: global warming gridlock: creating more effective strategies for protecting the planet
authors: richard n cooper
abstract: the book �global warming gridlock: creating more effective strategies for protecting the planet� by david g. victor is reviewed.
39. title: recent books on international relations: economic, social, and environmental: treasure islands: uncovering the damage of offshore banking and tax havens
authors: richard n cooper
abstract: the book �treasure islands: uncovering the damage of offshore banking and tax havens� by nicholas shaxson is reviewed.
40. title: recent books on international relations: middle east: are muslims distinctive? a look at the evidence
authors: l carl brown
abstract: the book �are muslims distinctive? a look at the evidence� by m. steven fish is reviewed.
41. title: recent books on international relations: middle east: atat�rk: an intellectual biography
authors: l carl brown
abstract: the book �atat�rk: an intellectual biography� by m. sucru hanioglu is reviewed.
42. title: recent books on international relations: middle east: how pakistan negotiates with the united states: riding the roller coaster
authors: l carl brown
abstract: the book �how pakistan negotiates with the united states: riding the roller coaster� by howard b. schaffer and teresita c. schaffer is reviewed.
43. title: recent books on international relations: middle east: our last best chance: the pursuit of peace in a time of peril
authors: l carl brown
abstract: the book �our last best chance: the pursuit of peace in a time of peril� by king abdullah is reviewed.
44. title: recent books on international relations: middle east: the shift: israel-palestine from border struggle to ethnic conflict
authors: l carl brown
abstract: the book �the shift: israel-palestine from border struggle to ethnic conflict� by menachem klein is reviewed.
45. title: recent books on international relations: military, scientific, and technological: a high price: the triumphs and failures of israeli counterterrorism
authors: lawrence d freedman
abstract: the book �a high price: the triumphs and failures of israeli counterterrorism� is reviewed.
46. title: recent books on international relations: military, scientific, and technological: anatomy of the red brigades: the religious mind-set of modern terrorists/mastermind: the many faces of the 9/11 architect, khalid shaikh mohammed
authors: lawrence d freedman
abstract: the book �anatomy of the red brigades: the religious mind-set of modern terrorists� by alessandro orsini is reviewed.
47. title: recent books on international relations: military, scientific, and technological: berlin 1961: kennedy, khrushchev, and the most dangerous place on earth
authors: lawrence d freedman
abstract: the book �berlin 1961: kennedy, khrushchev, and the most dangerous place on earth� by frederick kempe is reviewed.
48. title: recent books on international relations: military, scientific, and technological: getting to zero: the path to nuclear disarmament
authors: lawrence d freedman
abstract: the book �getting to zero: the path to nuclear disarmament� by catherine m. kelleher and judith reppy is reviewed.
49. title: recent books on international relations: political and legal: empire of humanity: a history of humanitarianism
authors: g john ikenberry
abstract: the book �empire of humanity: a history of humanitarianism� by michael barnett is reviewed.
50. title: recent books on international relations: political and legal: human rights in the twentieth century
authors: g john ikenberry
abstract: the book �political and legal g. john ikenberry human rights in the twentieth century� edited by stefan-ludwig hoffmann is reviewed.
51. title: recent books on international relations: political and legal: liberal leviathan: the origins, crisis, and transformation of the american world order
authors: charles glaser
abstract: the book �liberal leviathan: the origins, crisis, and transformation of the american world order� by g. john ikenberry is reviewed.
52. title: recent books on international relations: political and legal: morality and war: can war be just in the twenty-first century?
authors: g john ikenberry
abstract: the book �morality and war: can war be just in the twenty-first century?� by david fisher is reviewed.
53. title: recent books on international relations: political and legal: religion and international relations theory
authors: g john ikenberry
abstract: the book �religion and international relations theory� edited by jack snyder is reviewed.
54. title: recent books on international relations: political and legal: why niebuhr now?
authors: g john ikenberry
abstract: the book �why niebuhr now? �by john patrick diggins is reviewed.
55. title: recent books on international relations: the united states: a world on fire: britain's crucial role in the american civil war
authors: walter russell mead
abstract: the book �a world on fire: britain's crucial role in the american civil war� by amanda foreman is reviewed.
56. title: recent books on international relations: the united states: demonic: how the liberal mob is endangering america
authors: walter russell mead
abstract: the book �demonic: how the liberal mob is endangering america� by ann coulter is reviewed.
57. title: recent books on international relations: the united states: full spectrum diplomacy and grand strategy: reforming the structure and culture of u.s. foreign policy
authors: walter russell mead
abstract: the book �full spectrum diplomacy and grand strategy: reforming the structure and culture of u.s. foreign policy� by john lenczowski is reviewed.
58. title: recent books on international relations: the united states: malcolm x: a life of reinvention
authors: walter russell mead
abstract: the book �malcolm x: a life of reinvention� by manning marable is reviewed.
59. title: recent books on international relations: the united states: religion, terror, and error: u.s. foreign policy and the challenges of spiritual engagement
authors: walter russell mead
abstract: the book �religion, terror, and error: u.s. foreign policy and the challenges of spiritual engagement� by douglas m. johnston is reviewed.
60. title: recent books on international relations: western europe: eurolegalism: the transformation of law and regulation in the european union
authors: hyperlink "javascript:void(0);" andrew moravcsik.
abstract: the book �eurolegalism: the transformation of law and regulation in the european union� by r. daniel kelemen is reviewed.
61. title: recent books on international relations: western europe: europe 2020: competitive or complacent?
authors: andrew moravcsik
abstract: the book �europe 2020: competitive or complacent?�by daniel mamilton is reviewed.
62. title: recent books on international relations: western europe: european foreign policy scorecard 2010
authors: andrew moravcsik
abstract: the book �european foreign policy scorecard 2010� by justin vaisse and hans kundnani is reviewed.
63. title: recent books on international relations: western europe: muslims in the west after 9/11: religion, politics, and law
authors: andrew moravcsik
abstract: the book �muslims in the west after 9/11: religion, politics, and law� edited by jocelyne cesari is reviewed.
64. title: recent books on international relations: western europe: streetlife: how cities made modern europe
authors: andrew moravcsik
abstract: the book �streetlife: how cities made modern europe� by leif jerram is reviewed.
65. title: recent books on international relations: western europe: the end of the west: the once and future europe
authors: andrew moravcsik
abstract: the book �the end of the west: the once and future europe� by david marquand is reviewed.
66. title: recent books on international relations: western hemisphere: inter-american cooperation at a crossroads
authors: theodore j piccone
abstract: the book �inter-american cooperation at a crossroads� edited by gordon mace is reviewed.
67. title: recent books on international relations: western hemisphere: international migration in cuba: accumulation, imperial designs, and transnational social fields
authors: richard feinberg
abstract: the book �international migration in cuba: accumulation, imperial designs, and transnational social fields� by margarita cervantesrodr�guez is reviewed.
68. title: recent books on international relations: western hemisphere: ma�ana forever? mexico and the mexicans
authors: richard feinberg
abstract: the book �ma�ana forever? mexico and the mexicans� by jorge g. casta�eda is reviewed.
69. title: recent books on international relations: western hemisphere: redeemers: ideas and power in latin america
authors: richard feinberg
abstract: the book �redeemers: ideas and power in latin america� by enrique krauze. harper is reviewed.
70. title: recent books on international relations: western hemisphere: shifting the balance
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